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Profiting from Others' Misfortunes

By: Téa

As I sorted a stack of papers this week, I found a February 2008 MLS print-out, advertising a 4 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home, 3000 sq ft , and a 3 car garage. Because it was a short-sale, according to the agent, the listing price was only $300,000.

Fast forward to November 2008. A 6 bedroom, 4 bathroom, 3800  sq ft, 3 car garage home in the same neighborhood is listed at $175,000. That's what a glut of foreclosures has done to the area.

Arizona foreclosure rates skyrocketed this year, while housing prices fell like a discarded first stage.  1 in every 149 Arizona properties received a foreclosure filing in October 2008. Arizona only has half as many as #1 Nevada (for 22 consecutive months), where 1 in 74 properties had foreclosure filings last month.  Compare that with the national rate for October 2008: 1 in 452 properties.

Now is definitely the time to purchase a home, many pundits say, because the market has bottomed out and it will only get better from here. The housing market's sure to bounce back soon. Even Schoolhouse Rock! taught me that Wall Street rule: Buy low, sell high, take your piece of the pie.

Given all of that, why do I feel guilty when I think about grabbing that serving knife? Prices may be low at the expense of others, but it's not as if I dug a pit they fell into. People losing their homes, others losing home value (an example of the latter--a friend put more down on her house than some of the comps are selling for these days), there isn't anything I can do about it. The local auctions are still going to take place on the steps of the Maricopa County Courthouse; weekly events so commonplace that the circle of investors/trustees know each other on a first name basis, chatting with each other between the official readings & biddings on the pages of properties up for sale that day.

I have little doubt that my self-interest will prevail in the end, however, any hesitation swallowed up by the delights of the "Modern Mini-Mansion" I can suddenly afford, well below the 1/3 of net income threshold advocated by conservative financial planners. I'm supposed to be frugal, right? Imaging how much room I'll have for my year's supply!

Oh, and don't talk to me about the poor farm workers picking my fresh fruit and veggies right now. It looks like I'm in the mood for some guilt-free strawberry pie, after all.

Print | posted on Friday, November 14, 2008 7:14 PM | Filed Under [ General Mormon Culture Family Téa ]

Comments:

#1: Billy Bob Thornton

You continue to astound us with your "self-interest" and foolish ramblings.
11/15/2008 12:07 AM

#2: Eric Nielson

I hope you are right. Profiting would mean that things got better.
11/15/2008 6:04 AM

#3: Téa

Eric, good point. I know there are talk show guests to back just about any position, including the view that the market isn't going to rebound for a while to come.

Billy Bob, we aim to please.
11/15/2008 7:32 PM

#4: Bandanamom

I'm just so thankful that we never borrowed against the house in the 10 years we've lived here. Right now we are 1/3 of the way towards owning it free and clear and my payment is cheaper than most people's rent for a nice two bedroom apartment. Our house was purchased for under $100,000 ten years ago and at it's height of value (probably about a year and 1/2 ago) it could have easily sold for $550,000. Sure, it's depreciated since that $550,000 number, but it's still worth somewhere around $300,000. Can you imagine if we had borrowed against it? Or had felt the need to "move up". We qualified for this house making far less than we do today and over the years we have had a lot of people tell us we should "trade up". I've had no interest in doing that. I love me house. We love the neighborhood - we content to make the most of what we have.

Which is why I am having a hard time feeling sorry for a lot of people who are losing money and their homes right now. The bleeding heart liberal in me always feels sorry for people in a general kind of way. But the frugal me who decided to do what I thought was the "right" thing in my own personal life and finances, finds herself irritated with those whose decisions were led by greed.

So I wouldn't feel too bad about benefiting from the situation Tea. But that's just me.
11/15/2008 8:36 PM

#5: Jeremy

I have a brother that cannot sell his home in Lansing, MI even though he has it listed at tens of thousands of dollars under market value. He lives in Texas now and would love it if someone would buy it out from under him. Because of the dismal economy in Michigan, he will likely foreclose on it because it is costing him hundreds of dollars a month just to keep it.

So, there are a few people who you may be helping out if you purchase severely under-priced homes.
11/18/2008 2:07 PM

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